Allen regains big lead in Zogby poll
Following six weeks of verbal missteps and faux pas, Senator George Allen may have finally righted his ship, according to the latest Reuters/Zogby survey. That poll of likely voters shows Allen leading Democratic opponent Jim Webb by 11 percentage points with 48 percent supporting Allen, 37 percent for Webb, 13 percent undecided, and a 4 percent margin of error.
In an earlier Zogby poll taken days after the infamous "Macaca" incident made national headlines in August, Allen's once sizable lead over Webb had diminished to a single percentage point.
While the most recent poll, a telephone survey from September 25-October 2, might appear to represent a significant change in the campaign. However, Matthew Smyth of the UVA Center for Politics warns voters not to read too much into the numbers.
"Until we see another survey that shows similar results, it’s tough to tell whether this is a developing trend or simply a deviant result," says Smyth, adding, "The majority of recent polls show a tied race or a slim lead for Senator Allen, and that seems to be where the race currently lies."
Allen and Webb have been scattershooting across the Commonwealth as of late, with both making recent stops in Charlottesville. Allen greeted supporters at Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport on Wednesday, while Webb held a fundraiser with Governor Tim Kaine and best-selling authors John Grisham and Stephen King at the Paramount Theater on Sunday, September 24.
The candidates' last best chance to make their case to voters comes Monday, October 9 when the two debate on statewide television at 8pm.