Unclouded: Sabato predicts for 2012
Political pundit and Crystal Ball-meister Larry Sabato is the go-to guy in an election year, but as much as the Hook tried to lure him into some early prognosticating, Sabato likens any predictions at this point to flipping coins. He did give us some dish about the 2012 election, but where we really got the dirt was about fireplaces in pavilions on the Lawn– and whether the world will end.
Who do you pick in the Kaine-Allen U.S. Senate race, and what should we look for?
The odds are the Senate contest will go the way of the presidential election in Virginia. We live in a highly polarized era.
Which way do you see Virginia going in the presidential race?
Let's see which candidate the Republicans choose as their nominee. Some are stronger and others much weaker. That matters a great deal in Virginia and in other swing states.
Will Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli's disregard of Lieutenant Governor Bill BollIing as heir-apparent hurt him in 2013?
Bolling hopes so. Governor Bob McDonnell hopes so. But I'm not sure the GOP activists who vote in a primary care about such niceties.
Your prediction for Democratic candidates for governor?
So far, Terry McAuliffe is the only one I have heard is running. But if the nomination looks to be truly worth having, someone else may jump in.
Rob Bell's chances against Mark Obenshain in the AG race?
It will be tough, given the strength of the Obenshain name around the state in GOP circles, but Bell has a strong record on criminal justice issues in the General Assembly, so his is a serious candidacy.
What about the magnolia controversy at the Rotunda– should they stay or go?
I am completely agnostic. I have two gorgeous magnolias in the Garden of Pavilion IV, and should the Rotunda magnolias meet the Grim Tree Reaper, I invite everyone to admire this pair.
Has the ban on using fireplaces on the Lawn affected the ambience in your pavilion?
Not in the slightest, because the University had the wisdom many years ago to ban faculty from using the pavilion fireplaces. Absentmindedness is a treasured faculty trait, and if anyone were the cause of a destructive Lawn fire, I'd bet on faculty, not students.
Do you think the world will end in 2012, making predictions about 2013 unnecessary?
Finally, I can make a firm prediction. The world will not end in 2012. I'll go further and say it won't end in 2013 either. And just to be a pure daredevil, I believe, without exception, that the sun will rise in the East and set in the West on each day in 2012 and 2013. Even on the days with cloud cover.